Throughput Forecaster
Monte Carlo simulation for a single body of work. Estimates when work will complete and how many stories can be finished in a given time.
Waiting for valid inputs
Configure the inputs on the left. Results will appear here automatically.
URL Parameters (advanced)
Append query parameters to prefill the form for testing or shared scenarios. This supports the main forecasting inputs. Risk rows are not currently populated from the URL.
| Parameter | Meaning |
|---|---|
| startDate | Optional start date in YYYY-MM-DD format. |
| storyLow, storyHigh | Remaining story-count range before complexity adjustment. |
| complexity | Complexity preset index: 0-3. |
| splitLow, splitHigh | Story split-rate range. |
| durationIdx | Throughput unit index: 0=1 week, 1=2 weeks, 2=3 weeks, 3=4 weeks. |
| throughputMode | Use estimate or data. |
| tpLow, tpMostLikely, tpHigh | Estimate-mode throughput inputs. |
| samplesText | Historical throughput samples, separated by commas or new lines. |
| focusIdx | Focus index: 0=100%, 1=75%, 2=50%, 3=25%. |
| weeksToForecast | Story-count forecast window, from 1 to 52 intervals. |
| numTrials | Simulation trials, from 1 to 1000. |
| risks | Optional array of risk objects with likelihood, impactLow, impactHigh, and description. |
Estimate mode with a likely throughput value
Prefills the form with a weekly estimate-based scenario and a start date.
/throughput?startDate=2026-04-01&storyLow=18&storyHigh=26&complexity=1&splitLow=1&splitHigh=1.4&durationIdx=0&throughputMode=estimate&tpLow=3&tpMostLikely=5&tpHigh=8&focusIdx=1&weeksToForecast=6&numTrials=750
Historical-data mode with 2-week throughput samples
Uses historical samples and a 2-week unit to exercise the data-backed path.
/throughput?startDate=2026-04-14&storyLow=24&storyHigh=32&complexity=2&splitLow=1.1&splitHigh=1.8&durationIdx=1&throughputMode=data&samplesText=2,3,4,5,3,6,4,5&focusIdx=2&weeksToForecast=4&numTrials=600